FOREIGN EXCHANGE CONSENSUS FORECASTS MARCH 2014

This month’s special survey focuses on the extent to which exchange rate movements are influenced by a range of different factors, including relative growth, inflation differentials, the trade balance, interest rates and equity investment flows. We include the Chinese renminbi and the Russian rouble  among this month’s spotlights, following a major shift in FX dynamics for both. The former is widely considered to be undervalued and almost certain to appreciate over the long-term. Yet its sudden slide in mid-February has raised questions about shorter term fluctuations and…..http://www.consensuseconomics.com/con2/more_research.php?submit3=g7

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